The model estimates 2.00 goals for Bournemouth and 1.96 for Chelsea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bournemouth and 6 for Chelsea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bournemouth · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bournemouth is going head to head with Chelsea on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 37.
Bournemouth take on Chelsea in the Premier League on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Bournemouth are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Chelsea occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Bournemouth come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelsea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 12 wins against Bournemouth, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Bournemouth to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.96. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 75%.




In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
Bournemouth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.