European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.09 goals for Chaves and 2.70 for Penafiel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chaves and 6 for Penafiel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chaves is going head to head with Penafiel on November 08, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 10.
Chaves take on Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2 on 8 November 2026 at 19:00.
Chaves are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Penafiel occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Chaves come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Penafiel have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 63%.
CHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENCHAPENIn their last 6 matches, Chaves have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chaves have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
