The model estimates 1.12 goals for Chaves and 1.46 for CD Tondela. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chaves and 6 for CD Tondela, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Tondela · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chaves is going head to head with CD Tondela on November 29, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 12.
Chaves take on CD Tondela in the Liga Portugal 2 on 29 November 2026 at 19:00.
Chaves are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while CD Tondela occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Chaves come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Tondela have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CD Tondela to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Chaves have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chaves have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.