The model estimates 1.07 goals for CD Tondela and 1.91 for Penafiel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Tondela and 6 for Penafiel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Tondela is going head to head with Penafiel on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 13.
CD Tondela take on Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2 on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
CD Tondela are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Penafiel occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
CD Tondela come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Penafiel have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 57%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, CD Tondela have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.