The model estimates 1.43 goals for Chaves and 1.12 for Amarante. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chaves and 6 for Amarante, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Amarante · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chaves is going head to head with Amarante on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 32.
Chaves take on Amarante in the Liga Portugal 2 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Chaves are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Amarante occupy 17th position with 5 points.
Chaves come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Amarante have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Chaves to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Chaves have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chaves have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.
Amarante have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Amarante have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
Amarante concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.