The model estimates 1.24 goals for Chapecoense-SC and 2.17 for Cruzeiro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chapecoense-SC and 6 for Cruzeiro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cruzeiro · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chapecoense-SC is going head to head with Cruzeiro on November 22, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 36.
Chapecoense-SC take on Cruzeiro in the Serie A Betano on 22 November 2026 at 21:00.
Chapecoense-SC are currently placed 18th in the table with 12 points, while Cruzeiro occupy 2nd position with 33 points.
Chapecoense-SC come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cruzeiro have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Cruzeiro have 10 wins against Chapecoense-SC, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Cruzeiro to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.41. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 64%.




Chapecoense-SC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Chapecoense-SC have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Chapecoense-SC concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cruzeiro have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Cruzeiro have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Cruzeiro have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.