The model estimates 1.77 goals for Atletico-MG and 1.38 for Cruzeiro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atletico-MG and 6 for Cruzeiro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atletico-MG · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atletico-MG is going head to head with Cruzeiro on October 29, 2026 at 22:30. Played at MRV Arena Belo Horizonte. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 33.
Atletico-MG take on Cruzeiro in the Serie A Betano at MRV Arena Belo Horizonte on 29 October 2026 at 22:30.
Atletico-MG are currently placed 8th in the table with 21 points, while Cruzeiro occupy 3rd position with 30 points.
Atletico-MG come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cruzeiro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 109 recorded meetings, Atletico-MG have 41 wins against Cruzeiro, with 34 draws.
Prediction: Atletico-MG to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.15. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 63%.




In their last 6 matches, Atletico-MG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Atletico-MG's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atletico-MG's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cruzeiro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cruzeiro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Cruzeiro's last 6 matches.