The model estimates 0.97 goals for Cesena and 1.27 for Padova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cesena and 6 for Padova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cesena · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cesena is going head to head with Padova on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 30.
Cesena take on Padova in the Serie B on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Cesena are currently placed 16th in the table with 9 points, while Padova occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Cesena come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Padova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Padova have 10 wins against Cesena, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.24. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.




Cesena have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cesena have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cesena's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.