The model estimates 0.84 goals for Empoli and 1.22 for Padova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Empoli and 6 for Padova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Empoli · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Empoli is going head to head with Padova on April 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 32.
Empoli take on Padova in the Serie B on 3 April 2027 at 00:00.
Empoli are currently placed 18th in the table with 8 points, while Padova occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Empoli come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Padova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Empoli have 6 wins against Padova, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.06. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 42%.




Empoli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Empoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Empoli's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.