The model estimates 1.09 goals for Padova and 1.62 for Palermo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Palermo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Palermo · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Palermo on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 31.
Padova take on Palermo in the Serie B on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Palermo occupy 1st position with 23 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Palermo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Palermo have 17 wins against Padova, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Palermo to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Palermo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Palermo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Palermo's last 6 matches.