The model estimates 2.61 goals for Moralo and 0.73 for UP Plasencia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for UP Plasencia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with UP Plasencia on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 25.
Moralo take on UP Plasencia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while UP Plasencia occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Moralo come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UP Plasencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Moralo have 9 wins against UP Plasencia, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 71%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.35. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 49%.


Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
UP Plasencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
UP Plasencia concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of UP Plasencia's last 6 away matches.