The model estimates 1.01 goals for Llerenense and 0.95 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Llerenense and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Llerenense · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Llerenense is going head to head with Castuera on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 25.
Llerenense take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Llerenense are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while Castuera occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Llerenense come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Castuera have 2 wins against Llerenense, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Llerenense to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.96. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 41%.




Llerenense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Llerenense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Llerenense have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.