The model estimates 2.00 goals for Castro and 1.46 for Naval Reinosa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro and 6 for Naval Reinosa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro is going head to head with Naval Reinosa on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 25.
Castro take on Naval Reinosa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Castro are currently placed 10th in the table with 8 points, while Naval Reinosa occupy 16th position with 5 points.
Castro come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Naval Reinosa have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Naval Reinosa have 5 wins against Castro, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Castro to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.46. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 68%.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Naval Reinosa's last 6 matches.
Naval Reinosa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Naval Reinosa's last 6 matches.
