The model estimates 1.80 goals for Guarnizo and 1.15 for Castro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guarnizo and 6 for Castro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Guarnizo · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guarnizo is going head to head with Castro on March 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 28.
Guarnizo take on Castro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 28 March 2027 at 00:00.
Guarnizo are currently placed 11th in the table with 8 points, while Castro occupy 10th position with 8 points.
Guarnizo come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Guarnizo have 9 wins against Castro, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Guarnizo to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 58%.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Guarnizo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guarnizo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guarnizo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.