The model estimates 1.17 goals for CD Barquereño and 1.60 for Castro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Barquereño and 6 for Castro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Barquereño is going head to head with Castro on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 26.
CD Barquereño take on Castro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
CD Barquereño are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while Castro occupy 10th position with 8 points.
CD Barquereño come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Castro have 5 wins against CD Barquereño, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Castro to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.


CD Barquereño have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
CD Barquereño have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Barquereño's last 6 matches.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.