The model estimates 1.14 goals for Carpi and 1.33 for Pergolettese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Carpi and 6 for Pergolettese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pergolettese · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Carpi is going head to head with Pergolettese on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 28.
Carpi take on Pergolettese in the Italy Serie C on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Carpi are currently placed 42nd in the table with 12 points, while Pergolettese occupy 22nd position with 17 points.
Carpi come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pergolettese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Pergolettese have 1 win against Carpi.
Prediction: Carpi and Pergolettese to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Carpi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Pergolettese are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pergolettese have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pergolettese's last 6 matches.