The model estimates 1.87 goals for Cittadella and 0.65 for Novara. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cittadella and 6 for Novara, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cittadella · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cittadella is going head to head with Novara on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 28.
Cittadella take on Novara in the Italy Serie C on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Cittadella are currently placed 2nd in the table with 27 points, while Novara occupy 49th position with 10 points.
Cittadella come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Novara have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Cittadella have 8 wins against Novara, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Cittadella to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 42%.




In their last 6 matches, Cittadella have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cittadella have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Cittadella have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.