The model estimates 1.72 goals for Burnley and 1.70 for Stoke City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Burnley and 6 for Stoke City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Burnley · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Burnley is going head to head with Stoke City on December 19, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 22.
Burnley take on Stoke City in the Championship on 19 December 2026 at 18:00.
Burnley are currently placed 22nd in the table with 8 points, while Stoke City occupy 9th position with 20 points.
Burnley come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stoke City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 67 recorded meetings, Burnley have 27 wins against Stoke City, with 20 draws.
Prediction: Burnley to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




Burnley have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Stoke City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 matches.