The model estimates 1.87 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.56 for Burnley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bolton Wanderers and 6 for Burnley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bolton Wanderers · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bolton Wanderers is going head to head with Burnley on December 26, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Championship — Round 23.
Bolton Wanderers take on Burnley in the Championship on 26 December 2026 at 12:30.
Bolton Wanderers are currently placed 17th in the table with 17 points, while Burnley occupy 22nd position with 10 points.
Bolton Wanderers come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Burnley have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 73 recorded meetings, Burnley have 35 wins against Bolton Wanderers, with 22 draws.
Prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 68%.
BOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBOLBURBolton Wanderers have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Burnley have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Burnley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
