The model estimates 1.37 goals for Brentford and 1.69 for Brighton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brentford and 6 for Brighton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brentford is going head to head with Brighton on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 21.
Brentford take on Brighton in the Premier League on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Brentford are currently placed 6th in the table with 11 points, while Brighton occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Brentford come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brighton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 36 recorded meetings, Brighton have 14 wins against Brentford, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Brentford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brentford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Brentford's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.