The model estimates 2.20 goals for Brighton and 1.02 for Bournemouth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brighton and 6 for Bournemouth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brighton is going head to head with Bournemouth on January 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 20.
Brighton take on Bournemouth in the Premier League on 6 January 2027 at 00:00.
Brighton are currently placed 3rd in the table with 16 points, while Bournemouth occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Brighton come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bournemouth have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Brighton have 15 wins against Bournemouth, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
Bournemouth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.