The model estimates 1.11 goals for Braga and 1.19 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Braga and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Braga · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Braga is going head to head with Alverca on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 22.
Braga take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Braga are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Braga come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Braga have 1 win against Alverca.
Prediction: Braga and Alverca to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.




Braga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Braga's last 6 matches.
Braga have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.