The model estimates 1.06 goals for Rio Ave and 2.04 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rio Ave and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rio Ave is going head to head with Alverca on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 24.
Rio Ave take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Rio Ave are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Rio Ave come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Alverca have 5 wins against Rio Ave, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Alverca to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 58%.




Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.