The model estimates 1.55 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.42 for Wrexham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bolton Wanderers and 6 for Wrexham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bolton Wanderers · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bolton Wanderers is going head to head with Wrexham on December 11, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 21.
Bolton Wanderers take on Wrexham in the Championship on 11 December 2026 at 20:00.
Bolton Wanderers are currently placed 17th in the table with 17 points, while Wrexham occupy 16th position with 17 points.
Bolton Wanderers come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Wrexham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Wrexham have 1 win against Bolton Wanderers, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.
BOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBOLWREBolton Wanderers have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Wrexham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Wrexham's last 6 matches.
Wrexham have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 away matches.
