The model estimates 1.45 goals for Monza and 2.09 for Bologna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Bologna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monza · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Bologna on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 29.
Monza take on Bologna in the Serie A on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Monza are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Bologna occupy 11th position with 11 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bologna have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Bologna have 4 wins against Monza, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Bologna to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.54. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 68%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bologna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bologna's last 6 matches.
Bologna score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.