The model estimates 2.12 goals for Blauw Geel and 1.09 for Groene Ster. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Blauw Geel and 6 for Groene Ster, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Blauw Geel · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Blauw Geel is going head to head with Groene Ster on November 22, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 14.
Blauw Geel take on Groene Ster in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 22 November 2026 at 16:00.
Blauw Geel are currently placed 24th in the table with 11 points, while Groene Ster occupy 30th position with 9 points.
Blauw Geel come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Groene Ster have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Blauw Geel have 5 wins against Groene Ster, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Blauw Geel to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 60%.




Blauw Geel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Blauw Geel's last 6 matches.
Blauw Geel concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Groene Ster have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.