The model estimates 1.52 goals for Blauw Geel and 1.41 for Gemert. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Blauw Geel and 6 for Gemert, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Blauw Geel · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Blauw Geel is going head to head with Gemert on December 13, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 17.
Blauw Geel take on Gemert in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 13 December 2026 at 16:00.
Blauw Geel are currently placed 24th in the table with 11 points, while Gemert occupy 20th position with 13 points.
Blauw Geel come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gemert have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Gemert have 6 wins against Blauw Geel, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Blauw Geel to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 61%.




Blauw Geel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Blauw Geel's last 6 matches.
Blauw Geel concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gemert have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gemert have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gemert's last 6 matches.