The model estimates 0.76 goals for Groene Ster and 2.75 for Noordwijk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groene Ster and 6 for Noordwijk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Noordwijk · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groene Ster is going head to head with Noordwijk on December 05, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 16.
Groene Ster take on Noordwijk in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 5 December 2026 at 20:00.
Groene Ster are currently placed 30th in the table with 9 points, while Noordwijk occupy 1st position with 28 points.
Groene Ster come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Noordwijk have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Groene Ster have 2 wins against Noordwijk.
Prediction: Noordwijk to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 51%.




Groene Ster have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Noordwijk have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Noordwijk have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Noordwijk's last 6 matches.