The model estimates 1.11 goals for Beasain and 1.30 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Beasain and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Beasain is going head to head with Derio on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 22.
Beasain take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Beasain are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Beasain come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Beasain have 3 wins against Derio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.


Beasain have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Beasain's last 6 matches.
Beasain score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.