The model estimates 1.62 goals for Derio and 0.93 for Durango. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derio and 6 for Durango, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derio is going head to head with Durango on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 23.
Derio take on Durango in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Derio are currently placed 5th in the table with 12 points, while Durango occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Derio come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Durango have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Derio have 2 wins against Durango, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 50%.


In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Derio's last 6 matches.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Durango have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Durango's last 6 matches.
Durango have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.