The model estimates 1.01 goals for Lagun Onak and 1.32 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lagun Onak and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lagun Onak is going head to head with Derio on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 25.
Lagun Onak take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lagun Onak are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Lagun Onak come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Lagun Onak have 5 wins against Derio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.33. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.


Lagun Onak have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lagun Onak have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lagun Onak's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.