The model estimates 1.73 goals for Bastia and 1.11 for Villefranche. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Villefranche, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bastia · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Villefranche on November 21, 2026 at 16:45. This match is part of France National — Round 13.
Bastia take on Villefranche in the France National on 21 November 2026 at 16:45.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Villefranche occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Villefranche have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bastia to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 57%.




Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Villefranche have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Villefranche's last 6 matches.
Villefranche have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.