The model estimates 1.84 goals for Fleury-Merogis and 0.90 for Bastia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fleury-Merogis and 6 for Bastia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fleury-Merogis · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fleury-Merogis is going head to head with Bastia on December 05, 2026 at 16:45. This match is part of France National — Round 14.
Fleury-Merogis take on Bastia in the France National on 5 December 2026 at 16:45.
Fleury-Merogis are currently placed 5th in the table with 18 points, while Bastia occupy 13th position with 12 points.
Fleury-Merogis come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bastia have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Fleury-Merogis to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 51%.




Fleury-Merogis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fleury-Merogis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.