The model estimates 1.14 goals for Din. Zagreb and 1.26 for Sturm Graz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Din. Zagreb and 6 for Sturm Graz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Din. Zagreb is going head to head with Sturm Graz on January 27, 2027 at 21:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 8.
Din. Zagreb take on Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League on 27 January 2027 at 21:00.
Din. Zagreb are currently placed 18th in the table with 4 points, while Sturm Graz occupy 19th position with 4 points.
Din. Zagreb come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sturm Graz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Din. Zagreb's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Din. Zagreb's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Din. Zagreb have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.