The model estimates 1.49 goals for Ayr and 0.67 for Arbroath. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ayr and 6 for Arbroath, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ayr · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ayr is going head to head with Arbroath on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 22.
Ayr take on Arbroath in the Scottish Championship on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ayr are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Arbroath occupy 8th position with 11 points.
Ayr come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arbroath have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ayr have 1 win against Arbroath.
Prediction: Ayr to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.16. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 39%.




Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.
Arbroath have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.