The model estimates 0.59 goals for Arbroath and 1.15 for Dunfermline. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arbroath and 6 for Dunfermline, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dunfermline · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arbroath is going head to head with Dunfermline on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 23.
Arbroath take on Dunfermline in the Scottish Championship on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Arbroath are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Dunfermline occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Arbroath come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dunfermline have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Arbroath have yet to beat Dunfermline, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Dunfermline to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.74. Over 2.5: 25%. BTTS: 32%.




Arbroath have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Dunfermline are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dunfermline have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dunfermline's last 6 matches.