The model estimates 1.24 goals for Dunfermline and 0.64 for Ayr. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dunfermline and 6 for Ayr, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dunfermline · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dunfermline is going head to head with Ayr on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 24.
Dunfermline take on Ayr in the Scottish Championship on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Dunfermline are currently placed 4th in the table with 21 points, while Ayr occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Dunfermline come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ayr have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Dunfermline have yet to beat Ayr, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Dunfermline to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 35%.




Dunfermline are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dunfermline have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dunfermline's last 6 matches.
Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.