The model estimates 1.32 goals for Auxerre and 1.85 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Lyon on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 30.
Auxerre take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Lyon occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Lyon have 33 wins against Auxerre, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.18. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 63%.
AUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOAUXLYOBoth teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
