The model estimates 0.90 goals for Auxerre and 1.47 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Lille on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 22.
Auxerre take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 69 recorded meetings, Auxerre have 34 wins against Lille, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Lille to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.