The model estimates 2.73 goals for UD Logrones and 1.20 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Logrones and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Logrones · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Logrones is going head to head with AD Merida on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 24.
UD Logrones take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
UD Logrones are currently placed 3rd in the table with 20 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
UD Logrones come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, UD Logrones have 1 win against AD Merida.
Prediction: UD Logrones to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.93. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 66%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of UD Logrones's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, UD Logrones have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Logrones's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.