The model estimates 1.38 goals for Lecce and 1.24 for Venezia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Venezia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Venezia on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 38.
Lecce take on Venezia in the Serie A on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Venezia occupy 20th position with 3 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Venezia have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Lecce have 8 wins against Venezia, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Lecce to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 55%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Venezia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Venezia have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Venezia's last 6 matches.