The model estimates 2.26 goals for Napoli and 1.41 for Atalanta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for Atalanta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with Atalanta on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 38.
Napoli take on Atalanta in the Serie A on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Napoli are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Atalanta occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Napoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 122 recorded meetings, Napoli have 52 wins against Atalanta, with 35 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.67. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 69%.




In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Napoli's last 6 home matches.
Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.