The model estimates 1.66 goals for Bournemouth and 1.26 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bournemouth and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bournemouth · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bournemouth is going head to head with Aston Villa on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 19.
Bournemouth take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Bournemouth are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Aston Villa occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Bournemouth come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 6 wins against Bournemouth, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Bournemouth to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.92. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Bournemouth have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.