The model estimates 1.44 goals for Aston Villa and 1.97 for Brighton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for Brighton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with Brighton on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 31.
Aston Villa take on Brighton in the Premier League on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Aston Villa are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Brighton occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brighton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 16 wins against Brighton, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.41. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 67%.
ASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIASTBRIThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.
