The model estimates 3.12 goals for Brighton and 1.45 for Chelsea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brighton and 6 for Chelsea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brighton is going head to head with Chelsea on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 32.
Brighton take on Chelsea in the Premier League on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Brighton are currently placed 3rd in the table with 16 points, while Chelsea occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Brighton come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelsea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 11 wins against Brighton, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.57. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 74%.




In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.