The model estimates 1.79 goals for Arsenal and 0.76 for Bournemouth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Bournemouth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Bournemouth on December 13, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 15.
Arsenal take on Bournemouth in the Premier League on 13 December 2026 at 14:00.
Arsenal are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Bournemouth occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bournemouth have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 13 wins against Bournemouth, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 46%.




In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
Bournemouth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.