The model estimates 1.26 goals for Arouca and 1.49 for Sporting CP. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Sporting CP, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Sporting CP on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 24.
Arouca take on Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Sporting CP occupy 3rd position with 18 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Arouca have yet to beat Sporting CP, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.