The model estimates 1.02 goals for Arenas Getxo and 2.32 for Lugo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arenas Getxo and 6 for Lugo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arenas Getxo is going head to head with Lugo on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 15.
Arenas Getxo take on Lugo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Arenas Getxo are currently placed 36th in the table with 8 points, while Lugo occupy 1st position with 25 points.
Arenas Getxo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.34. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 59%.
ARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGARELUGArenas Getxo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Arenas Getxo have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Arenas Getxo concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.
