The model estimates 1.07 goals for Ath Bilbao B and 1.37 for Lugo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ath Bilbao B and 6 for Lugo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ath Bilbao B is going head to head with Lugo on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 18.
Ath Bilbao B take on Lugo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ath Bilbao B are currently placed 21st in the table with 12 points, while Lugo occupy 1st position with 22 points.
Ath Bilbao B come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.45. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Ath Bilbao B have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ath Bilbao B's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ath Bilbao B's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.