The model estimates 0.77 goals for Morton and 1.39 for Dunfermline. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morton and 6 for Dunfermline, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dunfermline · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morton is going head to head with Dunfermline on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 25.
Morton take on Dunfermline in the Scottish Championship on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Morton are currently placed 9th in the table with 7 points, while Dunfermline occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Morton come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dunfermline have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Dunfermline have 1 win against Morton.
Prediction: Dunfermline to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.16. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 42%.




Morton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Dunfermline are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dunfermline have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dunfermline's last 6 matches.